Check out FiveThirtyEight's latest projections

With LAFC falling in penalty kicks in the Quarterfinals of the MLS is Back Tournament there is a new favorite according to FiveThirtyEight.

After a strong performance against Sporting Kansas City on Thursday, Philadelphia Union leads the pack with a 31% chance to claim the trophy followed by Minnesota United FC at 27%.

The Union face off against the Portland Timbers in the Semifinals on Wednesday, August 5th. Kick off from Orlando is set for 8 p.m. and will be broadcast on FS1 and TUDN.

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